Mobile platform surveys aren’t always that useful

Apccelerator and IDC have just released its Q2 Developer survey today showing that Windows Phone 7 is apparently a distant third in terms of mobile developer interest. But the whole thing is somewhat flawed because of one simple thing:

Appcelerator and IDC surveyed 2,760 Appcelerator Titanium developers from April 11-13 on perceptions surrounding mobile OS priorities, feature priorities, and mobile development plans in 2011.

The Appcelerator Titanium platform is only iOS and Android compatible. So if your survey panel is entirely composed of developers using an iOS/Android dev platform then your results are surely bound to be biased towards both OSes. There is one semi-interesting chart in there:

Continue reading Mobile platform surveys aren’t always that useful →

Windows Phone to be second smartphone OS in 2015

Similar to last week’s IDC prediction Gartner is now also predicting that Windows Phone will be the second smartphone OS in terms of marketshare behind Android in 2015. This bold claim is essential based on the same assumption that because Nokia is dumping Symbian in favor of Windows Phone 7 (and future versions of Windows Phone) then Microsoft’s mobile OS will get a gigantic boost in consumer adoption in the coming years. Apple’s  iOS will, according to the same predictions, be third with a marketshare comparable to what it currently has.

Continue reading Windows Phone to be second smartphone OS in 2015 →

Crystall ball prediction: Windows Phone to be second Smartphone OS behind Android by 2015

As it is always the case in such situation; grab some salt before looking at the chart above. According to IDC Windows Phone will will be firmly seated as the number two smartphone OS just behind Android in 2015. It is safe to assume that lots of un-predictable events can happen in the coming years so this prediction is nothing more than…well..a prediction. As a reminder I would like to point to IDC and Microsoft’s previous “prediction” which estimated that 30Million Windows Phone based devices (WM and WP7) would be sold by the end of 2011.

Continue reading Crystall ball prediction: Windows Phone to be second Smartphone OS behind Android by 2015 →