Microsoft: 30 Million Windows Phone 7 devices will be sold by the end of 2011

During yesterday’s ReMIX Microsoft showed an interesting slide that didn’t go unnoticed by me ( you can see it above). According to IDC predictions 30Million Windows Phone 7 devices will be sold by the end of 2011 with 1.6 million of them only in France ( in 2008 only 18M WM licenses were sold and even less in 2009). This seems a lot especially for a new platform but the company is expecting that 40% of the handsets sold in 2011 will be smartphones (compared to only 14% in 2010) and hopes to grab a piece of the pie and generate money through the licensing fee and services integrated in WP7 (Zune music and movie downloads and 30% cut in the Marketplace). Just for comparison’s sake, Apple has sold 51,234,000 iPhones to date (and they are probably going to continue to sell a whole lot..).

UPDATE: Seems like there is some confusion going on right now. IDC is claiming that the slide is wrong and that their forecast for 2011 is 32 Million instead of the 30 Million quoted in the slide (and that it encompasses all Windows Mobile OS, not WP7 only). Splitting hairs much? eh? Let’s be logical here for a second please. Starting this fall WM6.X is as good as dead and MS logically estimated that out of the 32 Million estimated licenses sold only 2 Million would be WM6.X licenses (that’s why they estimated that 30 Million WP7 phones will be sold by the end of 2011). But it gets even better.. Microsoft issued a statement to please the IDC who seems a little bit pissed off over nothing:

“At the reMix conference in Paris, Microsoft presented a slide projecting the number of Windows Phone 7 phones to be sold in 2011. This slide was inaccurate, and intended to represent an analyst’s assessment of the market opportunity. We have not provided any sales forecasts for Windows Phone. Microsoft is introducing a fundamentally new design and experience with Windows Phone 7 in an effort to reposition our mobile business for the long-term.”

  • John

    As a developer, whose leg do I need to hump to get just one for testing?

  • John

    As a developer, whose leg do I need to hump to get just one for testing?

  • http://www.mobiletechworld.com/tips-contact/ M. Daou
  • http://www.mobiletechworld.com/tips-contact/ M. Daou
  • TheCyberKnight

    This is a very optimistic prediction considering that Apple sold around 50 million phone as of today.

    And if the Zune platform is any indication of the way Microsoft is going to handle this launch (limited to continental US), the net result will be significantly lower than this.

    I am located in Canada and, more than 2 years into the Zune platform, I still can’t buy music from the Marketplace or even buy a Zune HD. Failure.

  • TheCyberKnight

    This is a very optimistic prediction considering that Apple sold around 50 million phone as of today.

    And if the Zune platform is any indication of the way Microsoft is going to handle this launch (limited to continental US), the net result will be significantly lower than this.

    I am located in Canada and, more than 2 years into the Zune platform, I still can’t buy music from the Marketplace or even buy a Zune HD. Failure.

  • RDGB

    Is this real or a fantasy? Is it some dream sequence that Steve Ballmer is having, with a harp and wavy lines on the screen?

  • RDGB

    Is this real or a fantasy? Is it some dream sequence that Steve Ballmer is having, with a harp and wavy lines on the screen?

  • kwas

    Obviously its going to be rolled out internationally. ANd its not Microsoft saying this, its IDC’s analysis.

  • kwas

    Obviously its going to be rolled out internationally. ANd its not Microsoft saying this, its IDC’s analysis.

  • Nicholas

    This is so laughable! 30 million in 2 years? This is pure fantasy. They will be lucky to sell 7-10 million in 2 years. Microsoft has a good chance of getting out of the mobile business in the next 5 years. Can not compete with viable product with Google and Apple.

  • Nicholas

    This is so laughable! 30 million in 2 years? This is pure fantasy. They will be lucky to sell 7-10 million in 2 years. Microsoft has a good chance of getting out of the mobile business in the next 5 years. Can not compete with viable product with Google and Apple.

  • http://homepage.mac.com/daddysteve The Other Steve

    Microsoft plans to double their number of retail outlets in the U.S. to four, problem solved.

    They can always use the buy one, get 1,000,000 phones free promotion (innovatory reducer) to meet their goals. ;-)

  • http://homepage.mac.com/daddysteve The Other Steve

    Microsoft plans to double their number of retail outlets in the U.S. to four, problem solved.

    They can always use the buy one, get 1,000,000 phones free promotion (innovatory reducer) to meet their goals. ;-)

  • Jill Gates

    Does this mean I can set myself the goal to be a billionaire by 2011 and it will happen? Come on! I set it as a goal…

    I predict that whatever MS sells, Apple sells +100M, double bagsies and no returns of any kind… You can quote me on that…

  • Jill Gates

    Does this mean I can set myself the goal to be a billionaire by 2011 and it will happen? Come on! I set it as a goal…

    I predict that whatever MS sells, Apple sells +100M, double bagsies and no returns of any kind… You can quote me on that…

  • Carlos Osuna

    Kudos for Microsoft’s excellent math. What IDC really said is 32 million Windows Mobile/Phones. And what they really meant was 30 million legacy Windows Mobile 6.5 (mainly for businesses who depend on custom Compact .NET framework software) plus 2 million (at the most) from WP7S (mainly from the hypergeeks who will buy the Pineview cells from Samsung at $700 buck a pop), and MS somehow reverse the number.

  • Carlos Osuna

    Kudos for Microsoft’s excellent math. What IDC really said is 32 million Windows Mobile/Phones. And what they really meant was 30 million legacy Windows Mobile 6.5 (mainly for businesses who depend on custom Compact .NET framework software) plus 2 million (at the most) from WP7S (mainly from the hypergeeks who will buy the Pineview cells from Samsung at $700 buck a pop), and MS somehow reverse the number.

  • Jill Gates

    MOD Edit: No Trolling please

  • Jill Gates

    MOD Edit: No Trolling please

  • Chad

    First, the Fox link is old given that the original story above was already updated with the Microsoft’s official statement.
    Second, J.L.Gassée is one the biggest Apple shill/Douche around so his opinion on Microsoft isn’t worth more than a bag of shit (and as noted in your link he is a former Apple exec and founder of BeOS…). Third your “name” (Jill Gates) and your 2 posts here indicate that you are trolling = You failed.

  • Chad

    First, the Fox link is old given that the original story above was already updated with the Microsoft’s official statement.
    Second, J.L.Gassée is one the biggest Apple shill/Douche around so his opinion on Microsoft isn’t worth more than a bag of shit (and as noted in your link he is a former Apple exec and founder of BeOS…). Third your “name” (Jill Gates) and your 2 posts here indicate that you are trolling = You failed.

  • http://www.raptorsairsoft.com Mike

    It seems to me that 30 million is overestimated. Microsoft has the dominating operation system, butI think Apple will be the major player in phones.

  • E. Williams

    I can’t believe idiots actually waste their time attending the IDC Predictions conferences. They are so far wrong on EVERYTHING they predict! Maybe I need to get a job there so I can be WRONG ALL THE TIME and still get a paycheck! hahaha.